The final topic of the space series is the politics that will result from
man kinds colonization of the stars. Let’s just say, I believe things could get
messy.
Land Negotiation: As we venture out and colonize other
worlds and space itself, Nations will attempt to create territorial boundaries.
They would do this for one simple purpose; anything that is within that
boundary is theirs for the picking. However, who gets to decide how much land
on the moon belongs to the
United States,
as opposed to
Russia, or
China. Also,
countries without a space program may be left out of these negotiations
entirely unless they are generously given territory (if that land has a use is
another question).
Land negotiation can be done by dividing up the moon or Mars once we get
there, an equal share sort of deal. An alternative to that is where ever a flag
is planted by human hands a certain amount of territory is granted to the
nation that put it there (this is the same as Russia putting flags under the
polar icecap to claim land if negotiations in the UN failed. Basically it will
be a true space race. Get there first and claim your prize.
Internationalism: An alternative to the land negotiation
model is having colonies run on a set of international law standards.
Basically, the moon and Mars would be shared in the same way
Antarctica
is shared amongst the world. From there, negotiations on how much of each
resource goes to each country may follow (assuming those resources can be
brought back to Earth). You will find a distinct lack of a Free Market in this
model as businesses will be forced to turn over their gains to the countries
indicated in the treaty and not to customers of their choosing. Also, the laws
established have to be agreed upon by the nations making them (they can't even
agree on a definition on terrorism so good luck).
After Colonization: Once out there (literally), we will
have to deal with how these colonies are to be run. However, I predict rebellion.
It goes without question that colonies of a certain size and economic clout
will resent their rulers from so many miles away. Some of these colonies will
be abused by their countries of origin and even drained of everything they
have, leaving them barren. So, some colonies may even band together to rebel,
and the host nation(s) can do nothing to stop it save having a loyal force
stationed nearby to keep order, or some way to get troops from Earth or another
of their colonies inside to restore order. Basically we will have
interplanetary rebellions in a similar fashion to the American Revolution.
Some countries will be different however. Less authoritarian countries will
allow their colonies say in the goings on both within the colony and even at
home in elections of national leaders. Basically, the
United States
could have its 51'st State on the moon. But, this is wholly dependant on
treatment of the people in the colonies and how much loyalty they have to their
mother country. Though, as generations are born in the colonies their loyalty
may shift to each other as it will be a hard and difficult life for the initial
settlers. With these difficulties colonies will most likely have to aid one
another for survival. Though, the opposite of cooperation is equally true.
Small battles in space may be fought, ones
that can spark wars here on Earth.
Conclusion: I think that man kinds violent nature will not
be satiated. People with nationalism will seek glory for their mother country
until that mother country stabs them in the back. Wars of
Independence are inevitable, as to if they
will be successful or not depends on how far technology progresses. My
recommendation is for colonies to have self rule. By giving them self rule,
they can establish laws that are suitable to their own situation. This also
allows easy transition to become part of another county (like the
U.S.) if they
meet the criteria for becoming more than just another colony. Likewise, self
rule ensures less chaos as host nations can nurture these colonies and use
these local governments to prevent mistreatment and maintain a sense of loyalty
to their country of origin. Basically it is a balancing act, mistreat them and
they rebel causing war, treat them well and you gain access to natural
resources that improve the quality of life for your people. Countries have
already started negotiating with each other over territory, and this new space
race has begun. My generation may be the first to see people actually living on
the moon, Mars and space colonies, but hopefully my predictions do not come
true.
Tomorrow it is back to politics with my cuts to the federal govenment.
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